COVID-19 and The Economy
September 19, 2020
Maybe you’re reading this in your classroom, with desks spaced six feet apart. Maybe you’re reading it at home, and you’ll discuss it online. The coronavirus that began spreading last winter has changed our lives. Some of the biggest changes have been economic. This month, we take a look at what happened to the U.S. economy this year, where we stand, and what might be ahead.
Big Shift In A Short Time
The economy is how the U.S. and other countries measure their wealth and resources over time. We talk about an economy as being good or bad. A good economy is one in which businesses are making money, people are finding jobs, consumers are spending money, and the gross domestic product, or GDP , is going up. A bad economy is exactly the opposite.
In 2019, before anyone had heard of COVID-19, our country’s GDP grew by 2.3%. That was pretty good. But during the first three months of 2020, it fell by 5%. That was pretty bad. Then, during the next three months, it fell by 32.9%. That was really bad. A recession happens when a country’s GDP declines for two quarters in a row.
Loss Of Jobs And Businesses
Why did the U.S. economy fall so fast? On March 11, the World Health Organization declared COVID-19 a pandemic . Activities that took people out of their homes began to shut down.
Two days later, 16 states had closed schools, with the rest to follow. And by the end of March, 26 states had issued stay-at-home orders. Only essential businesses, such as groceries, drugstores, and hospitals, were allowed to stay open. Just as many students were able to go to school remotely, or from a distance, many workers were able to do their jobs from home. They could communicate online.
But others, including workers in restaurants, shops, and hair salons, could not. By late May, more than 40 million people in the country lost their jobs. Unemployment hit Black and Hispanic workers hardest. According to research from McKinsey & Company, about a quarter of the small businesses in the U.S. could close for good because of the effects of the pandemic.
Government Steps In
On March 27, the Coronavirus Aid, Relief, and Economic Security (CARES) Act was passed by Congress and signed by President Trump. It would cost the country more than $2 trillion.
Money from the CARES Act provided help in a number of areas. About a quarter of it went to big corporations. Another quarter of it went to individuals. Checks called stimulus payments were sent to adults who earned less than $99,000 a year. Some mortgage and student loan payments were paused. Landlords weren’t allowed to evict renters who were unable to pay.
Money also went small businesses, to help them cover rent and pay employees. State and local governments received money too. Unemployment payments, which are typically provided by the state, were supplemented with money from the federal government. The rest of the money from the CARES Act was marked for public services, such as education and public health.
The Road To Recovery
So where does the economy go from here? In May, June, and July, the country restored millions of jobs that were lost earlier in the year. Many were in such businesses as restaurants and hotels. Consumers started spending more in May and June, as well. They bought clothes and shoes, dined out, and rescheduled appointments that they’d postponed. But in July, cases of COVID-19 continued to rise.
Consumer confidence—a monthly survey that measures how Americans feel about the economy and predicts their spending—dropped again.
In August, as this story was being written, Congress and the president were negotiating another act to help Americans. The results of those negotiations are not yet clear. What is clear, however, is that the health of the country and the economy go hand in hand.
—By Jean Chatzky
Extra! Click here to read a related article from TIME for Kids.